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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cambridge United

Bolton
1 - 1
Cambridge

John (67')
Johnston (56'), Bradley (71'), Mbete (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+5')
Smith (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cambridge United

Despite not being free-scoring on home turf, Bolton have the meanest defence in the third tier, and that stinginess should put them in good stead against a side that have netted 13 goals in 19 away League Two fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
65.51% (-0.129 -0.13) 20.45% (-0.124 -0.12) 14.04% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 47.56% (1.034 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (1.037 1.04)46.95% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.96 0.96)69.2% (-0.959 -0.96)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.28800000000001 0.29)13.51% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (0.57 0.57)40.56% (-0.569 -0.57)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (1.016 1.02)45% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (0.802 0.8)80.93% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 65.5%
    Cambridge United 14.04%
    Draw 20.45%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.5%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.45%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cambridge

Bolton Wanderers
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
Bolton
Tracey (16')
Iredale (17'), Digby (38'), Hoolahan (54'), O'Neil (73')

Williams (13'), Sarcevic (29'), Santos (88')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Bolton
2-1
Cambridge
Doyle (38'), Sarcevic (43')
Lee (90+4')
Knoyle (80')
Mullin (49'), Ironside (58'), Drysdale (59')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Bolton
Crellin (73' og.)
Iredale (90+4')
Sarcevic (82')
Delaney (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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