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League One | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Burton Albion

Wigan
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Aasgaard (31')
Smith (28'), Norburn (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dadi Bodvarsson (33'), Burrell (59')
Dodgson (4'), Webster (8'), Watt (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Burton Albion

As the season goes on, the likelihood of a miraculous escape by Albion is becoming less likely, though desperation may inspire a spirited performance from the visitors on Tuesday. Given the Latics' dire home form, it is unlikely that the Brewers will get many better opportunities than this to put points on the board, but it will still be a tough fight for all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
52.64% (-2.015 -2.02) 25.86% (0.927 0.93) 21.49% (1.088 1.09)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-1.1 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-2.215 -2.22)57.05% (2.213 2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-1.799 -1.8)77.94% (1.799 1.8)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-1.72 -1.72)21.75% (1.718 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-2.694 -2.69)54.93% (2.694 2.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.125 -0.13)41.83% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.11 -0.11)78.29% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 52.64%
    Burton Albion 21.49%
    Draw 25.86%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.88% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.37 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.744 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.623 0.62)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Wigan vs Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic
66.7%
Draw
20.8%
Burton Albion
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Hughes (43' og.)
Smith (78')
Brayford (54')
Gilligan (75'), Hamer (90+4'), Powell (90+1')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Burton Albion
2-1
Wigan
Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')
Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
0-0
Wigan
Mancienne (35'), Niasse (59'), Kokolo (79')
Watts (17'), Power (79'), Kerr (82')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Wigan
2-0
Burton Albion
McClean (9'), Tilt (51')
Darikwa (36'), Bayliss (39')

Hamer (57')
Smith (15')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Keane (37')
Powell (16')
Powell (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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