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League One | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Burton Albion

Wigan
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Aasgaard (31')
Smith (28'), Norburn (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dadi Bodvarsson (33'), Burrell (59')
Dodgson (4'), Webster (8'), Watt (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Burton Albion

As the season goes on, the likelihood of a miraculous escape by Albion is becoming less likely, though desperation may inspire a spirited performance from the visitors on Tuesday. Given the Latics' dire home form, it is unlikely that the Brewers will get many better opportunities than this to put points on the board, but it will still be a tough fight for all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burton Albion in this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
52.64% (-2.015 -2.02) 25.86% (0.927 0.93) 21.49% (1.088 1.09)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-1.1 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-2.215 -2.22)57.05% (2.213 2.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-1.799 -1.8)77.94% (1.799 1.8)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-1.72 -1.72)21.75% (1.718 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-2.694 -2.69)54.93% (2.694 2.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.125 -0.13)41.83% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.11 -0.11)78.29% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 52.64%
    Burton Albion 21.49%
    Draw 25.86%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.88% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.37 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.744 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.623 0.62)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Wigan vs Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic
66.7%
Draw
20.8%
Burton Albion
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Hughes (43' og.)
Smith (78')
Brayford (54')
Gilligan (75'), Hamer (90+4'), Powell (90+1')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Burton Albion
2-1
Wigan
Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')
Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
0-0
Wigan
Mancienne (35'), Niasse (59'), Kokolo (79')
Watts (17'), Power (79'), Kerr (82')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Wigan
2-0
Burton Albion
McClean (9'), Tilt (51')
Darikwa (36'), Bayliss (39')

Hamer (57')
Smith (15')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Keane (37')
Powell (16')
Powell (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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