We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Burton Albion
As the season goes on, the likelihood of a miraculous escape by Albion is becoming less likely, though desperation may inspire a spirited performance from the visitors on Tuesday.
Given the Latics' dire home form, it is unlikely that the Brewers will get many better opportunities than this to put points on the board, but it will still be a tough fight for all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burton Albion in this match.