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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Burton Albion

Crawley
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Showunmi (72')
Radcliffe (50'), Radcliffe (50'), Ibrahim (70'), Conroy (73'), Camara (81'), Barker (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrell (25')
Dodgson (55'), Vancooten (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Burton Albion

While Burton are in a position where they should throw caution to the wind, there may be a few more nerves in the Crawley camp. With that in mind, we are backing a low-scoring draw that ultimately benefits neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBurton Albion
40.13% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 24.96% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 34.91% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)45.7% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)68.02% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)22.67% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.07 -0.07)56.31% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)60.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 40.13%
    Burton Albion 34.91%
    Draw 24.96%
Crawley TownDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.91%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
0-0
Crawley
Webster (38'), Armer (69'), Bannon (90+1')
Forster (40')
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Crawley
3-0
Burton Albion
Davis (22'), Tubbs (83'), Webster (56' og.)
Davis (90')

Bolder (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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