Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.