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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Burton Albion

Crawley
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Showunmi (72')
Radcliffe (50'), Radcliffe (50'), Ibrahim (70'), Conroy (73'), Camara (81'), Barker (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrell (25')
Dodgson (55'), Vancooten (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Burton Albion

While Burton are in a position where they should throw caution to the wind, there may be a few more nerves in the Crawley camp. With that in mind, we are backing a low-scoring draw that ultimately benefits neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBurton Albion
40.13% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 24.96% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 34.91% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)45.7% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)68.02% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)22.67% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.07 -0.07)56.31% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)60.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 40.13%
    Burton Albion 34.91%
    Draw 24.96%
Crawley TownDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.91%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
0-0
Crawley
Webster (38'), Armer (69'), Bannon (90+1')
Forster (40')
Mar 31, 2012 3pm
Dec 10, 2011 3pm
Crawley
3-0
Burton Albion
Davis (22'), Tubbs (83'), Webster (56' og.)
Davis (90')

Bolder (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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