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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Orsi (15')
Kalinauskas (39'), Webster (45+1'), Cooper Love (89')
Vancooten (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forde (52'), Sinclair (59'), Ward (90+3')
Conteh (45'), O'Donkor (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Bristol Rovers

At least three goals have been scored in each of Burton's and Bristol Rovers' last five league games, so another entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be on the cards this weekend. Although the Pirates have picked up nine of their 10 points on home soil so far this season, we are backing them to secure all three on the road against an out-of-sorts Brewers outfit this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBristol Rovers
40.04% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.59% (0.0039999999999978 0) 33.37% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.012 -0.01)25.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)66.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 40.03%
    Bristol Rovers 33.37%
    Draw 26.58%
Burton AlbionDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.37%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers

Burton Albion
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Bristol Rovers
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Burton Albion
Evans (60')
Gilligan (43'), Helm (57')
Bola (49'), Gilligan (52'), Helm (64'), Bennett (80')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Burton Albion
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Lubala (26', 43'), Powell (81'), Baah (84')
Moon (18'), Crocombe (70'), Helm (88')
Evans (7')
Bogarde (90+2')
Woods (64')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Smith (14'), Butcher (64')
Shaughnessy (1')
Evans (4'), Connolly (12'), Collins (40', 44')
Whelan (72')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Smith (55')
Clare (43'), Carter (90+2'), Hemmings (90+6')

McCormick (11')
McCormick (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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