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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Stevenage


Moore (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (12')
White (36'), List (49'), Thompson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Blackpool
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage

It is hard to see Bristol Rovers winning on Monday considering they come into the clash in such poor form, but they will at least take confidence from their draw with Wrexham. Stevenage were strong from a defensive perspective last time out, but given their struggles in the final third, they are unlikely to score more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
31.38% (0.574 0.57) 26.58% (-0.226 -0.23) 42.04% (-0.35 -0.35)
Both teams to score 51.27% (0.919 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (1.072 1.07)53.47% (-1.074 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (0.898 0.9)74.99% (-0.901 -0.9)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.95399999999999 0.95)31.5% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (1.091 1.09)67.89% (-1.093 -1.09)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.303 0.3)25.14% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (0.417 0.42)59.86% (-0.42 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 31.38%
    Stevenage 42.03%
    Draw 26.57%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.041999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
Draw
Stevenage
Bristol Rovers
63.6%
Draw
36.4%
Stevenage
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stevenage
3-0
Bristol Rovers
List (34'), Roberts (54'), Reid (88')
Freestone (65'), Roberts (85')

Lindsay (22'), Wilson (26'), McCormick (71'), Sousa (85')
Lindsay (53')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
2-3
Bristol Rovers
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Stevenage
Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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