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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
2 - 3
Bristol Rovers

FT(HT: 2-1)
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Bristol Rovers

The sides boast similar attacking records heading into this one, but Stevenage have had the upper hand defensively, and we fancy the home team to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
52.24% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 24.32% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 23.43% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)71.38% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.02000000000001 0.02)18.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (0.029000000000003 0.03)50.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.6% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)72.37% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.23%
    Bristol Rovers 23.43%
    Draw 24.32%
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.43%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
60.0%
Draw
13.3%
Bristol Rovers
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Stevenage
Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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