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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Stevenage

Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage

Neither team heads into this contest in strong form, but it should be an interesting contrast in styles nonetheless. Evans and Barton are likely to provide plenty of entertainment on the sidelines, and they will be expecting their players to display similar levels of intensity. We can envisage a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
43.85% (-0.154 -0.15) 25.54% (-0.084 -0.08) 30.61% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.438 0.44)49.52% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.392 0.39)71.55% (-0.395 -0.39)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.113 0.11)22.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (0.171 0.17)56.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.383 0.38)30.04% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (0.461 0.46)66.16% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 43.84%
    Stevenage 30.61%
    Draw 25.53%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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