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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
43.85% ( -0.15) | 25.54% ( -0.08) | 30.61% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( 0.44) | 49.52% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.39) | 71.55% ( -0.39) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( 0.11) | 22.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( 0.17) | 56.09% ( -0.18) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.38) | 30.04% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% ( 0.46) | 66.16% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |