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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crawley Town

Stevenage
3 - 1
Crawley

White (20'), Reid (89'), Kemp (90+1')
Goode (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibrahim (70')
Ibrahim (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 3-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 Peterborough
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Crawley Town

With Crawley having turned somewhat of a corner under Lindsey, they are arguably the marginal favourites for this game based on current form. Nevertheless, we feel that Stevenage still deserve respect, and a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Crawley Town has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Crawley Town win it is 0-1 (6.67%).

Result
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
52.42% (1.55 1.55) 23.97% (-0.288 -0.29) 23.6% (-1.267 -1.27)
Both teams to score 53.57% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (0.051000000000002 0.05)47.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (0.045000000000002 0.05)69.87% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.614 0.61)18.16% (-0.619 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87% (1.044 1.04)49.13% (-1.049 -1.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (-1.069 -1.07)34.54% (1.064 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (-1.154 -1.15)71.25% (1.149 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.41%
    Crawley Town 23.61%
    Draw 23.97%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.336 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.29 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.41%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.61%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Crawley
3-1
Stevenage
Forster (50'), Quitirna (87'), Doyle (90+3')
Ibrahim (14')
Hanlan (53')
Piergianni (47'), Phillips (54'), Sweeney (63'), Thompson (89')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-1
Crawley
Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Telford (89' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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