League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion1 - 2Birmingham
Tavares (90+4')
Delap (84')
Delap (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Burton Albion
Friday, April 18 at 1pm in League One
Friday, April 18 at 1pm in League One
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Crawley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
73
We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Birmingham City
With survival on the line over the next few weeks, Burton will be pumped and raring to cause an upset against champions Birmingham this weekend. Blues have taken their foot off the gas with first place clinched, which could open the door for the Brewers to earn a valuable point at the Pirelli Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Birmingham City |
16.74% ( 0.06) | 21.21% ( -0) | 62.04% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.11) | 45.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( 0.11) | 67.4% ( -0.11) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% ( 0.14) | 40.19% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.17% ( 0.13) | 76.82% ( -0.13) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.02) | 13.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.03) | 41.45% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Burton Albion 16.74%
Birmingham City 62.03%
Draw 21.21%
| Burton Albion | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.74% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.87% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 62.03% |
How you voted: Burton Albion vs Birmingham
Burton Albion
26.7%Draw
20.0%Birmingham City
53.3%30
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Jul 16, 2022 2pm
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Birmingham
1-0
Burton Albion
Aug 18, 2017 7.45pm
Form Guide
