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Birmingham logo
EFL Trophy | Final
Apr 13, 2025 at 3pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Peterborough United

Birmingham
0 - 2
Peterborough


Dowell (44'), May (52'), Jutkiewicz (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mills (15'), Kyprianou (45')
Odoh (57'), Kyprianou (78'), Katongo (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's EFL Trophy clash between Birmingham City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Peterborough United

Birmingham should have control of the ball for the most part at Wembley, although the big pitch should help Peterborough carry a threat on the counter-attack. As a result, we are expecting Posh to score at least once on Sunday, but Blues should be good enough to ultimately lift the EFL Trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
65.64% (0.596 0.6) 18.67% (-0.258 -0.26) 15.68% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.69% (0.566 0.57)35.31% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.66% (0.625 0.63)57.33% (-0.623 -0.62)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.93% (0.306 0.31)10.06% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.83% (0.696 0.7)33.17% (-0.694 -0.69)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.51% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)72.28% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 65.64%
    Peterborough United 15.68%
    Draw 18.67%
Birmingham CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.21% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.29% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.14% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.97% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.07 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 65.64%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 18.67%
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.7% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.92% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 15.68%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Peterborough

Birmingham City
Peterborough United
Birmingham City
88.2%
Peterborough United
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Peterborough
1-2
Birmingham
Poku (23')
May (20'), Gardner-Hickman (37')
Harris (54'), Iwata (70')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Birmingham
3-2
Peterborough
Thor Willumsson (24'), Wallin (49' og.), Bielik (66')
Davies (30'), Dykes (35'), Stansfield (73'), Leonard (90+1')
Jade-Jones (4'), Fernandez (16')
Fernandez (29'), Sparkes (33'), Kyprianou (82')
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Peterborough
3-2
Birmingham
Poku (4'), Mason-Clark (11'), Kyprianou (13')
Hogan (33'), Jutkiewicz (90')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
2-2
Peterborough
Gardner (85'), Hogan (88')
Marriott (16'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Kent (45+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Peterborough
3-0
Birmingham
Dean (1' og.), Clarke-Harris (35' pen.), Grant (50')
Kent (70'), Butler (90+2')

Woods (35'), Aneke (74')
Gardner (65')
rhs 2.0
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3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
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5Chelsea34179859401960
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7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3313101052401249
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Everton34814123441-738
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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