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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Peterborough United

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Peterborough

Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Peterborough United

 Burton Albion are struggling going forward in recent weeks, while their visitors are certainly not experiencing such difficulties, and with momentum back on their side, we can only envisage another dominant triumph for Peterborough United on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
16.62% (-0.164 -0.16) 21.38% (-0.1 -0.1) 62% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (0.146 0.15)46.01% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (0.137 0.14)68.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.12 -0.12)40.92% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.107 -0.11)77.49% (0.116 0.12)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.137 0.14)14.29% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.256 0.26)42.08% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 16.62%
    Peterborough United 61.99%
    Draw 21.38%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 5.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.62%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.18% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 61.99%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Peterborough

Burton Albion
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Peterborough United
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Peterborough
4-0
Burton Albion
Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Peterborough
1-1
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (47')
Adeboyejo (75')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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