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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
66.56% ( 0.35) | 18.47% ( -0.09) | 14.96% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.07% ( -0.13) | 35.93% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.98% ( -0.14) | 58.02% ( 0.14) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.99% ( 0.05) | 10.01% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.95% ( 0.11) | 33.05% ( -0.11) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( -0.41) | 36.82% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% ( -0.41) | 73.6% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.47% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |