League One

League One | Gameweek 36

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 1
Exeter

Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City

Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Exeter City
66.56% ( 0.35)	18.47% ( -0.09)	14.96% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 56.85% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.07% (

-0.13)

35.93% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.98% (

-0.14)

58.02% (

0.14)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.99% (

0.05)

10.01% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.95% (

0.11)

33.05% (

-0.11)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.18% (

-0.41)

36.82% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.39% (

-0.41)

73.6% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 66.56%

Exeter City 14.96%

Draw 18.47%

Peterborough United	Draw	Exeter City
2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.56%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.47%	1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.96%