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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
2 - 1
Exeter

Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City

Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
66.56% (0.346 0.35) 18.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 14.96% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.85% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (-0.127 -0.13)35.93% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (-0.141 -0.14)58.02% (0.142 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)10.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.95% (0.113 0.11)33.05% (-0.111 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.413 -0.41)36.82% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.413 -0.41)73.6% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 66.56%
    Exeter City 14.96%
    Draw 18.47%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.47%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.96%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Exeter City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
2-1
Peterborough
Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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