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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
2 - 1
Exeter

Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City

Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
66.56% (0.346 0.35) 18.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 14.96% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.85% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (-0.127 -0.13)35.93% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (-0.141 -0.14)58.02% (0.142 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)10.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.95% (0.113 0.11)33.05% (-0.111 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.413 -0.41)36.82% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.413 -0.41)73.6% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 66.56%
    Exeter City 14.96%
    Draw 18.47%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.47%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.96%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Exeter City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
2-1
Peterborough
Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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