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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
66.56% (![]() | 18.47% (![]() | 14.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.07% (![]() | 35.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.98% (![]() | 58.02% (![]() |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.99% (![]() | 10.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.95% (![]() | 33.05% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% (![]() | 36.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% (![]() | 73.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
2-0 @ 9.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 8.48% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.47% | 1-2 @ 4.23% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 69 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 60 |
3 | Wrexham | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 57 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 52 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 46 | 27 | 19 | 50 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 50 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 50 |
9 | Reading | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
10 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 43 |
11 | Blackpool | 31 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 41 |
12 | Stevenage | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 40 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 38 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 35 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
20 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 31 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 28 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 27 |
23 | Burton Albion | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |