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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
20.44% ( -1.48) | 22.02% ( -0.38) | 57.55% ( 1.87) |
Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.14% ( -0.2) | 42.86% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.74% ( -0.2) | 65.26% ( 0.2) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( -1.53) | 34.81% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( -1.65) | 71.54% ( 1.65) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% ( 0.54) | 14.65% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% ( 1.03) | 42.78% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.01% Total : 20.44% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 57.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
6 | Blackpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
7 | Barnsley | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Stevenage | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Reading | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
15 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 11 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |