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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
2 - 1
Peterborough

Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Peterborough United

This is a tough ask for Exeter against a talented Peterborough outfit. The home side are capable of making it a frustrating evening for Ferguson's team, but we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points in Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
20.44% (-1.481 -1.48) 22.02% (-0.38 -0.38) 57.55% (1.866 1.87)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.198 -0.2)42.86% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.197 -0.2)65.26% (0.20299999999999 0.2)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-1.528 -1.53)34.81% (1.534 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-1.648 -1.65)71.54% (1.652 1.65)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.542 0.54)14.65% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (1.029 1.03)42.78% (-1.024 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 20.44%
    Peterborough United 57.55%
    Draw 22.01%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 9.41% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.02% (0.384 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.128 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.235 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Peterborough United
74.1%
27
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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