League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle1 - 3Reading
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Reading
Although Carlisle claimed all three points in Tuesday's away clash with Burton, they have lost each of their last four home matches, and after falling to a 5-1 defeat to Reading in the reverse fixture, we think that the Cumbrians will come up short in Saturday's home outing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Reading |
31.67% ( 0.07) | 25.52% ( 0.03) | 42.8% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
