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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Reading |
31.67% (![]() | 25.52% (![]() | 42.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% (![]() | 49.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% (![]() | 71.11% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.93% (![]() | 29.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.02% (![]() | 64.98% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% (![]() | 22.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.48% (![]() | 56.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 8.19% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 12.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.8% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |