League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cambridge United
While Carlisle have lost four of their last five home games, it is worth pointing out that three of those defeats were against teams in the top six this season. With just two wins on the road, Cambridge's away record is far from solid and we feel that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils in this one.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.03% . A win for Cambridge United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%) . The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%) .
Result Carlisle United Draw Cambridge United 41.03% ( -0.37) 26.47% ( -0.2) 32.5% ( 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.8)
47.29% ( 0.94) 52.7% ( -0.95)
25.65% ( 0.8) 74.34% ( -0.8)
74.68% ( 0.23) 25.32% ( -0.24)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.9% ( 0.32) 60.09% ( -0.33)
69.64% ( 0.86) 30.36% ( -0.86)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.45% ( 1.01) 66.54% ( -1.01)
Carlisle United 41.03%
Cambridge United 32.5%
Draw 26.46%
Carlisle United Draw Cambridge United 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.03% 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.5%
rhs 2.0
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