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Championship header 2

League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Portsmouth

Carlisle
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Vela (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lane (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Portsmouth

 Despite having to contend with a number of injury issues, Portsmouth will carry significant momentum into Saturday's contest, and we think that the leaders will sweep past a struggling Carlisle side to continue their promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
18.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 22.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 58.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)49.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)71.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)40.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (-0.032 -0.03)76.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.012 -0.01)46.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 18.69%
    Portsmouth 58.4%
    Draw 22.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.05%
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.4%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Portsmouth

Carlisle United
20.0%
Draw
5.0%
Portsmouth
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Shaughnessy (90+3')
Rafferty (78')

McCalmont (48'), Guy (70'), Garner (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Portsmouth

O'Sullivan (40'), Miller (61')
Roberts (73'), Linganzi (86'), Whatmough (92')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Carlisle
Baker (42')
Lambe (14')
Devitt (19'), Gillespie (73')
Devitt (28')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Smith (57')
Stevens (44')

Raynes (73')
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
Carlisle
2-2
Portsmouth
Grainger (44' pen., 95')
Dicker (85')
Lavery (66'), McNulty (68')
Lavery (94')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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