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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Portsmouth

Carlisle
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Vela (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lane (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Portsmouth

 Despite having to contend with a number of injury issues, Portsmouth will carry significant momentum into Saturday's contest, and we think that the leaders will sweep past a struggling Carlisle side to continue their promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
18.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 22.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 58.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)49.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)71.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)40.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (-0.032 -0.03)76.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.012 -0.01)46.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 18.69%
    Portsmouth 58.4%
    Draw 22.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.05%
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.4%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Portsmouth

Carlisle United
20.0%
Draw
5.0%
Portsmouth
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Shaughnessy (90+3')
Rafferty (78')

McCalmont (48'), Guy (70'), Garner (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Portsmouth

O'Sullivan (40'), Miller (61')
Roberts (73'), Linganzi (86'), Whatmough (92')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Carlisle
Baker (42')
Lambe (14')
Devitt (19'), Gillespie (73')
Devitt (28')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Smith (57')
Stevens (44')

Raynes (73')
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
Carlisle
2-2
Portsmouth
Grainger (44' pen., 95')
Dicker (85')
Lavery (66'), McNulty (68')
Lavery (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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