League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 1
Portsmouth

Vela (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lane (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Portsmouth

Despite having to contend with a number of injury issues, Portsmouth will carry significant momentum into Saturday's contest, and we think that the leaders will sweep past a struggling Carlisle side to continue their promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Portsmouth
18.69% ( -0.01)	22.9% ( 0)	58.41% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9% (

-0.03)

49.1% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.83% (

-0.03)

71.17% (

0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72% (

-0.03)

40.28% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09% (

-0.03)

76.91% (

0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0.01)

16.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

-0.01)

46.24% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 18.69%

Portsmouth 58.4%

Draw 22.9%

Carlisle United	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 18.69%	1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.9%	0-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.4%