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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
3 - 2
Carlisle

Forde (40', 45+4'), Sotiriou (58')
Galbraith (56'), El Mizouni (69'), Hunt (81'), Forde (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vela (21'), Maguire (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 3-0 Carlisle United

This match looks routine on paper due to the recent form and league positions of both teams, and while anything can happen in football it should be a simple win for Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
47.18% (0.42899999999999 0.43) 26.89% (-0.165 -0.16) 25.93% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.16% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (0.43 0.43)57.22% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.343 0.34)78.07% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.39700000000001 0.4)24.27% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.557 0.56)58.63% (-0.556 -0.56)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 47.18%
    Carlisle United 25.93%
    Draw 26.88%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Carlisle

Leyton Orient
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Leyton Orient
3-1
Carlisle
Pigott (11' pen.), Drinan (65'), Sotiriou (90+1')
Cooper (8'), Forde (14'), El Mizouni (60'), Happe (70'), Sweeney (90+6')
Garner (50')
Robinson (72')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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