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League One
Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
3 - 2
Carlisle

Forde (40', 45+4'), Sotiriou (58')
Galbraith (56'), El Mizouni (69'), Hunt (81'), Forde (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vela (21'), Maguire (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 3-0 Carlisle United

 This match looks routine on paper due to the recent form and league positions of both teams, and while anything can happen in football it should be a simple win for Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
47.18% (0.42899999999999 0.43) 26.89% (-0.165 -0.16) 25.93% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.16% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.78% (0.43 0.43)57.22% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.93% (0.343 0.34)78.07% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.39700000000001 0.4)24.27% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.557 0.56)58.63% (-0.556 -0.56)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 47.18%
    Carlisle United 25.93%
    Draw 26.88%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Carlisle

Leyton Orient
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
First Round
Leyton Orient
3-1
Carlisle
Pigott (11' pen.), Drinan (65'), Sotiriou (90+1')
Cooper (8'), Forde (14'), El Mizouni (60'), Happe (70'), Sweeney (90+6')
Garner (50')
Robinson (72')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
1-0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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