League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 9, 2021 at 12pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
3 - 2
Shrewsbury

Mandron (10', 21'), Porter (81')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Whalley (34'), Udoh (42')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Shrewsbury Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
37.5%	27.57%	34.92%

Both teams to score 49.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32%

56.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36%

77.63%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83%

29.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.9%

65.1%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.02%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 37.5%

Shrewsbury Town 34.92%

Draw 27.57%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.5%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.92%