Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.