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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%).
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
41.91% | 25.82% | 32.27% |
Both teams to score 54.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.91% | 50.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.94% | 72.06% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% | 23.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.18% | 57.82% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% | 29.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.85% | 65.15% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.91% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |