Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.