League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Exeter City
Ipswich have been solid all season, but their performances have gone up a level since February, keeping clean sheets in 12 of their last 14 matches.
McKenna's side have proven they have what it takes to win promotion with their recent victories against Barnsley and Peterborough, and we expect them to get over the line on Saturday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79% . A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%) , while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%) . The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result Ipswich Town Draw Exeter City 79.79% ( -0.07) 12.99% ( 0.04) 7.21% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.01)
67.96% ( -0.07) 32.03% ( 0.07)
46.39% ( -0.08) 53.6% ( 0.08)
93.74% ( -0.03) 6.25% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 76.41% ( -0.08) 23.59% ( 0.07)
51.85% ( 0.02) 48.14% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 16.66% ( 0.02) 83.34% ( -0.02)
Ipswich Town 79.78%
Exeter City 7.21%
Draw 12.99%
Ipswich Town Draw Exeter City 2-0 @ 11.56% 3-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 79.78% 1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 12.99% 1-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 7.21%
How you voted: Ipswich vs Exeter
Ipswich Town
Draw
Exeter City
25
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 22:27:12
Friday, July 5
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