Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Exeter City |
79.79% ( -0.07) | 12.99% ( 0.04) | 7.21% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.96% ( -0.07) | 32.03% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.39% ( -0.08) | 53.6% ( 0.08) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.74% ( -0.03) | 6.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.41% ( -0.08) | 23.59% ( 0.07) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.85% ( 0.02) | 48.14% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.66% ( 0.02) | 83.34% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Exeter City |
2-0 @ 11.56% 3-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 79.78% | 1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 12.99% | 1-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 7.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |