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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
29.31% ( 0.49) | 26.39% ( -0.05) | 44.29% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( 0.44) | 53.53% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.95% ( 0.37) | 75.05% ( -0.37) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% ( 0.6) | 33.02% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.38% ( 0.66) | 69.61% ( -0.66) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.02) | 24.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0.02) | 58.31% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |