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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
3 - 1
Exeter

Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Kyprianou (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harper (46')
Kite (5'), Caldwell (6'), Harper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Exeter City

 With so much left to play for, Peterborough will need no further incentive to grab this game by the scruff of the neck. We are backing the hosts to dominate proceedings and get the job done in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
54.64% (1.03 1.03) 23.17% (-0.224 -0.22) 22.19% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (0.07 0.07)45.77% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.065999999999999 0.07)68.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.392 0.39)16.64% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.703 0.7)46.48% (-0.709 -0.71)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.708 -0.71)34.78% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.753 -0.75)71.51% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 54.63%
    Exeter City 22.19%
    Draw 23.17%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55')
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Exeter
Assombalonga (72'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Assombalonga (37'), Ephraim (68')

Doherty (23')
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Exeter
Boyd (10', 74'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Peterborough
Nardiello (54'), Cureton (71')
Jones (46')
Archibald-Henville (29' og.)
Mackail-Smith (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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