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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
37.93% ( -1.64) | 25.03% ( -0.32) | 37.03% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( 1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% ( 1.61) | 45.79% ( -1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( 1.51) | 68.11% ( -1.52) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% ( -0.13) | 23.83% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.99% ( -0.19) | 58% ( 0.19) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% ( 1.85) | 24.31% ( -1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.31% ( 2.55) | 58.69% ( -2.56) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |