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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Exeter City

Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Exeter


Ball (53'), Brown (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Richards (40')
Niskanen (44'), Caldwell (45'), McMillan (48'), Sweeney (89')
Watts (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-1 Exeter City

Leyton Orien's recent upturn in form has seen them climb out of the relegation zone in recent weeks, and while they are on a good mini run, they are now winless in their last six home games. Exeter meanwhile have been solid defensively but it would be a tough ask for them to leave Brisbane Road with all three points, so a low-scoring draw looks to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
44.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 29.33% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03% (0.053000000000004 0.05)50.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.84% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.64% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)56.26% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.052000000000007 0.05)31.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.062000000000001 0.06)68.1% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 44.92%
    Exeter City 29.33%
    Draw 25.74%
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Exeter

Leyton Orient
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Exeter City
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leyton Orient
2-2
Exeter
O'Neill (36'), Moncur (64')
Alli (88'), Carroll (90+2')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
1-2
Leyton Orient
Mitchell (48')
Borges (90'), Beardmore (90+5'), Cole (90+6')
Pigott (55'), Sotiriou (90+2')
Archibald (45+2'), Pratley (59'), Sotiriou (90+3')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
1-0
Leyton Orient
Diabate (90+2')
Dieng (54'), Brown (81')

Thompson (24'), Pratley (75'), Beckles (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Leyton Orient
3-0
Exeter
Drinan (7'), Beckles (25'), Archibald (77')
James (59')

Grounds (25')
Grounds (74')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
4-0
Leyton Orient
Randall (11'), Jay (13', 42', 50' pen.)

Widdowson (27'), Akinola (49'), Turley (75'), Clay (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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