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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Exeter City

Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Exeter


Ball (53'), Brown (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Richards (40')
Niskanen (44'), Caldwell (45'), McMillan (48'), Sweeney (89')
Watts (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-1 Exeter City

Leyton Orien's recent upturn in form has seen them climb out of the relegation zone in recent weeks, and while they are on a good mini run, they are now winless in their last six home games. Exeter meanwhile have been solid defensively but it would be a tough ask for them to leave Brisbane Road with all three points, so a low-scoring draw looks to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
44.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 29.33% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03% (0.053000000000004 0.05)50.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.84% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.64% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)56.26% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.052000000000007 0.05)31.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.062000000000001 0.06)68.1% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 44.92%
    Exeter City 29.33%
    Draw 25.74%
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Exeter

Leyton Orient
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Exeter City
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leyton Orient
2-2
Exeter
O'Neill (36'), Moncur (64')
Alli (88'), Carroll (90+2')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Exeter
1-2
Leyton Orient
Mitchell (48')
Borges (90'), Beardmore (90+5'), Cole (90+6')
Pigott (55'), Sotiriou (90+2')
Archibald (45+2'), Pratley (59'), Sotiriou (90+3')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
1-0
Leyton Orient
Diabate (90+2')
Dieng (54'), Brown (81')

Thompson (24'), Pratley (75'), Beckles (90+1')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Leyton Orient
3-0
Exeter
Drinan (7'), Beckles (25'), Archibald (77')
James (59')

Grounds (25')
Grounds (74')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
4-0
Leyton Orient
Randall (11'), Jay (13', 42', 50' pen.)

Widdowson (27'), Akinola (49'), Turley (75'), Clay (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
6Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
7Exeter CityExeter9513106416
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough114341921-215
13Stevenage1042487114
14Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham113531214-214
16Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
17Reading94141314-113
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury112271320-78
22Crawley TownCrawley10217818-107
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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