We said: Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient
If Brentford are able to replicate their first-half performance against Manchester City on Tuesday, then they should be clear favourites to progress.
It would not be surprising if the Bees took an early lead against Leyton Orient, and considering the visitors' struggles this season, it is difficult to see them getting back into the game in that scenario.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.