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League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
2 - 1
Exeter

Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Exeter City

There has only been one draw in the last seven league meetings between these two sides, and both teams won the away fixture during the 2023-24 campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away success here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
25.33% (-1.296 -1.3) 24.65% (-0.554 -0.55) 50.02% (1.85 1.85)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (1.32 1.32)48.98% (-1.318 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (1.184 1.18)71.06% (-1.183 -1.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.352 -0.35)33.75% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.386 -0.39)70.41% (0.387 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (1.304 1.3)19.6% (-1.302 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (2.078 2.08)51.54% (-2.078 -2.08)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 25.33%
    Exeter City 50.02%
    Draw 24.64%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.18% (0.289 0.29)
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.309 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.197 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.197 0.2)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 50.02%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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