EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Exeter2 - 1Swindon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Exeter City 1-0 Swindon Town
Keeping things tight in defence remains a major problem for Kennedy's Swindon, who ought to be fighting an uphill battle against an Exeter side revelling in a revenge win over Bolton. Changes on both ends may lead to a slightly low-key affair, but the Grecians still have our thumbs-up to get the job done on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Swindon Town |
34.94% ( 0.12) | 24.98% ( 0.29) | 40.08% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
