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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 0
Stevenage

Francis (9'), Doyle (50')
Crama (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (44'), Piergianni (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Exeter may have lost last weekend, but they tend to perform well in meetings with Stevenage, and we think that they will draw confidence from their impressive head-to-head record to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
36.71% (-0.252 -0.25) 27.52% (0.061 0.06) 35.77% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (-0.232 -0.23)56.43% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (-0.189 -0.19)77.44% (0.19 0.19)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)29.52% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.327 -0.33)65.54% (0.328 0.33)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.71%
    Stevenage 35.76%
    Draw 27.51%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Stevenage
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-0
Stevenage
Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stevenage
1-1
Exeter
Piergianni (45+1')
Butler (53')
Wildschut (47')
Aitchison (23'), Caldwell (24'), Taylor (43'), Sweeney (46'), Sinisalo (64'), Niskanen (75')
Aitchison (43')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-1
Stevenage
(Aggregate 1-1 | Exeter win 5-3 on penalties)
Hartridge (5')
Trevitt (8'), Sweeney (30')
Roberts (69')
Evans (9'), Butler (63'), Thompson (89')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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