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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Leyton Orient

Lincoln
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Makama (90')
Hackett (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanders (55'), Brown (68'), Sotiriou (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient

While Lincoln have recently produced the most consistent form, we cannot ignore Leyton Orient's recent win at Stevenage. That said, Lincoln would be backed against many teams in this division right now, leading us to go with a hard-fought success for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
46.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.2%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.92%
    Leyton Orient 25.52%
    Draw 27.54%
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 25.52%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Leyton Orient

Lincoln City
71.0%
Draw
12.9%
Leyton Orient
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leyton Orient
0-1
Lincoln

Wellens (35'), Cooper (70'), Happe (78')
Hamilton (89')
Hamilton (34'), Eyoma (53')
Apr 22, 2006 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Leyton Orient
Forrester (36')
Mackie (2')
Simpson (34'), Zakuani (60'), Alexander (62')
Oct 15, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Alexander (18')
Butcher (70')
Cryan (80'), Beevers (83')
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Mackie (83')
Yeo (3')
Oct 23, 2004 3pm
Lincoln
3-4
Leyton Orient
McAuley (3', 48'), Yeo (14')
Butcher (88')
Steele (11', 78', 89'), Ibehre (37')
Harrison (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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