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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Cambridge United |
52.57% ( 0.04) | 26.11% ( -0.03) | 21.32% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.64% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.91% ( 0.09) | 58.08% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.24% ( 0.07) | 78.75% ( -0.07) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% ( 0.06) | 22.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.37% ( 0.08) | 55.63% ( -0.08) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.38% ( 0.04) | 42.62% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.03% ( 0.04) | 78.96% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |