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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Cambridge United

Lincoln
6 - 0
Cambridge

Moylan (3', 25'), Taylor (48', 74'), Eyoma (85'), Duffy (86')
Duffy (90+1'), Taylor (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Andrew (80'), Brophy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Cambridge United

Lincoln are charging towards the playoffs, with the Imps in excellent form, and we are expecting them to pick up another three points on Tuesday evening against a Cambridge side that have lost 10 of their 17 away league matches during the 2023-24 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
52.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.11% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.091999999999999 0.09)58.08% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.073 0.07)78.75% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.055000000000007 0.06)22.21% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.080999999999996 0.08)55.63% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (0.044999999999995 0.04)42.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (0.038 0.04)78.96% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 52.56%
    Cambridge United 21.32%
    Draw 26.11%
Lincoln CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.32%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Cambridge

Lincoln City
88.1%
Draw
4.8%
Cambridge United
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Cambridge
0-3
Lincoln

Ahadme (9'), Cousins (15')
Mandroiu (16' pen.), Duffy (32'), Vale (85')
Vale (77'), Mitchell (88')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
2-0
Lincoln
Ironside (24', 27')

O'Connor (86')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Lincoln
0-1
Cambridge
Ironside (90+1')
Brophy (71')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
1-5
Lincoln
Ironside (59')
Williams (36'), Digby (72'), Knibbs (82')
Adelakun (1'), McGrandles (16'), Scully (24', 72'), Fiorini (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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