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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Stevenage

Lincoln
0 - 0
Stevenage


House (33'), Erhahon (36')
FT

Reid (27'), Evans (28'), Vancooten (75'), Freeman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Stevenage

Few professional sides in England can boast as good a record as Lincoln over the past month, as they have kept their playoff hopes alive with a brilliant run, and another win here against a direct promotion rival would be huge. While home comforts have provided Stevenage with two big wins in the past week, they have only won two of their last seven on the road, losing four, and this will be a challenge against a confident Lincoln side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
34.14% (0.102 0.1) 29.72% (-0.108 -0.11) 36.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.87% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.78% (0.35100000000001 0.35)64.22% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.66% (0.25 0.25)83.34% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.261 0.26)35.2% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.271 0.27)71.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (0.194 0.19)33.85% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (0.208 0.21)70.51% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 34.14%
    Stevenage 36.13%
    Draw 29.71%
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 34.14%
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.81% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.71%
0-1 @ 12.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Stevenage

Lincoln City
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Stevenage
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stevenage
1-0
Lincoln
Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Lincoln
Godden (26')
Wilkinson (82')
Palmer (75' pen.), Raggett (58')
Jones (36'), Green (45'), Bostwick (81'), Woodyard (87'), Farman (93')
Green (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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