League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Aguilera (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 3-1 Bristol Rovers

Lincoln are flying at the moment, and it may take a superior side to Bristol Rovers to stop Skubala's side. The former Leeds United caretaker boss has let the shackles off in recent weeks, with the Imps posting an unbeaten record of 12 matches. The visitors, on the other hand, have little to play for and have failed to score in their last two games. We can see that changing on Saturday, but it may not be enough to prevent them from falling to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
48.73% ( -0)	26.72% ( -0.01)	24.55% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.45% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.47% (

0.05)

57.53% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

0.04)

78.32% (

-0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

0.02)

23.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

0.03)

57.8% (

-0.03)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87% (

0.04)

39.13% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

0.04)

75.85% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 48.73%

Bristol Rovers 24.55%

Draw 26.71%

Lincoln City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.73%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.55%