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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln
1 - 1
Plymouth

Sanders (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (31')
Houghton (71'), Lonwijk (81'), Randell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln have been very tricky to beat this season, and are on a high after the midweek result. Plymouth are on a roll in the league and, if the defeat at Grimsby does not play on their minds too much, they should have enough to get by the Imps. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.2% (-0.26 -0.26) 26.42% (-0.096 -0.1) 40.37% (0.359 0.36)
Both teams to score 52.34% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (0.348 0.35)52.37% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.299 0.3)74.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.351 0.35)25.52% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.478 0.48)60.37% (-0.473 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.2%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.36%
    Draw 26.42%
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.2%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Plymouth

Lincoln City
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Plymouth Argyle
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Lincoln
2-0
Plymouth
Grant (50' pen.), Johnson (72')
Jones (11'), Walsh (21')

Nouble (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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