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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln
1 - 1
Plymouth

Sanders (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (31')
Houghton (71'), Lonwijk (81'), Randell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol City 1-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

 Lincoln have been very tricky to beat this season, and are on a high after the midweek result. Plymouth are on a roll in the league and, if the defeat at Grimsby does not play on their minds too much, they should have enough to get by the Imps. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.2% (-0.26 -0.26) 26.42% (-0.096 -0.1) 40.37% (0.359 0.36)
Both teams to score 52.34% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (0.348 0.35)52.37% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.299 0.3)74.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.351 0.35)25.52% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.478 0.48)60.37% (-0.473 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.2%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.36%
    Draw 26.42%
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.2%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Plymouth

Lincoln City
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Plymouth Argyle
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Lincoln
2-0
Plymouth
Grant (50' pen.), Johnson (72')
Jones (11'), Walsh (21')

Nouble (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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