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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln
1 - 1
Plymouth

Sanders (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (31')
Houghton (71'), Lonwijk (81'), Randell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln have been very tricky to beat this season, and are on a high after the midweek result. Plymouth are on a roll in the league and, if the defeat at Grimsby does not play on their minds too much, they should have enough to get by the Imps. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.2% (-0.26 -0.26) 26.42% (-0.096 -0.1) 40.37% (0.359 0.36)
Both teams to score 52.34% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (0.348 0.35)52.37% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.299 0.3)74.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.351 0.35)25.52% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.478 0.48)60.37% (-0.473 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.2%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.36%
    Draw 26.42%
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.2%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Plymouth

Lincoln City
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Plymouth Argyle
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Lincoln
2-0
Plymouth
Grant (50' pen.), Johnson (72')
Jones (11'), Walsh (21')

Nouble (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham20153237162148
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe21145246222447
3Wrexham22136333151845
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield21133535181742
5Stockport CountyStockport22106634231136
6Reading2110473431334
7Barnsley229673131033
8Mansfield TownMansfield209472622431
9Lincoln CityLincoln228772826231
10Bolton WanderersBolton209472931-231
11Charlton AthleticCharlton218672520530
12Exeter CityExeter219392223-130
13Leyton Orient218492620628
14Wigan AthleticWigan217682018227
15Blackpool217683033-327
16Stevenage207581520-526
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2173113840-224
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham206591922-323
19Bristol Rovers2164111932-1322
20Northampton TownNorthampton2256112238-1621
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2145122137-1617
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2143142241-1915
24Burton Albion2126131734-1712


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