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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln
1 - 1
Plymouth

Sanders (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (31')
Houghton (71'), Lonwijk (81'), Randell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln have been very tricky to beat this season, and are on a high after the midweek result. Plymouth are on a roll in the league and, if the defeat at Grimsby does not play on their minds too much, they should have enough to get by the Imps. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.2% (-0.26 -0.26) 26.42% (-0.096 -0.1) 40.37% (0.359 0.36)
Both teams to score 52.34% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (0.348 0.35)52.37% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.299 0.3)74.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.351 0.35)25.52% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.478 0.48)60.37% (-0.473 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.2%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.36%
    Draw 26.42%
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.2%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Plymouth

Lincoln City
Draw
Plymouth Argyle
Lincoln City
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Plymouth Argyle
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Lincoln
2-0
Plymouth
Grant (50' pen.), Johnson (72')
Jones (11'), Walsh (21')

Nouble (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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