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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Exeter City

Plymouth
4 - 2
Exeter

Whittaker (27'), Mumba (58'), Hardie (70', 84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (25'), Nombe (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Exeter City

Having come through their last two matches unbeaten, Exeter will fancy their chances of causing a surprise against the form side in the entire EFL. However, we cannot back against Plymouth, even if they may have to work hard to eventually get over the line against their South West rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawExeter City
54.17% (0.205 0.2) 24.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.35% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.15% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (-0.175 -0.17)39.13% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-0.165 -0.16)75.85% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 54.16%
    Exeter City 21.35%
    Draw 24.47%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Exeter

Plymouth Argyle
89.2%
Draw
10.0%
Exeter City
0.8%
120
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 1pm
Exeter
4-0
Plymouth
Law (42' pen., 83'), Parkes (49'), Williams (67')
Bowman (39'), Parkes (77')

McFadzean (12'), Sarcevic (93')
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Exeter
Plymouth win 5-3 on penalties
Edwards (19'), Blissett (75')
Ness (63')
McAlinden (13'), Edwards (70')
Croll (83')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Exeter
Kennedy (14'), Taylor (45'), Jervis (93' pen.)
Carey (75'), Donaldson (81')

Woodman (60'), Brown (74'), Simpson (92'), Pym (93')
Sep 17, 2016 1pm
Exeter
0-2
Plymouth
Carey (6'), Paul Garita (26')
Bulvitis (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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