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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
57.75% ( 2.51) | 24.11% ( -0.79) | 18.13% ( -1.73) |
Both teams to score 45.42% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( 0.75) | 54.54% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( 0.62) | 75.89% ( -0.62) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% ( 1.26) | 18.72% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.91% ( 2.07) | 50.09% ( -2.07) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.88% ( -1.56) | 44.12% ( 1.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.78% ( -1.3) | 80.22% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.74% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |