Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.