Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.