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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Cheltenham Town

MK Dons
3 - 1
Cheltenham

Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boyle (89')
May (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Having lost once in their last five games in all competitions, MK Dons will be confident of collecting all three points on Wednesday, and we think that they will profit against a Cheltenham side that are currently on a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
61.4%21.98%16.63%
Both teams to score 48.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.63%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98%44.02%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21%78.79%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.39%
    Cheltenham Town 16.63%
    Draw 21.97%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.97%
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
90.6%
Draw
9.4%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Cheltenham
3-1
MK Dons
Atangana (14'), Barnett (44'), Clements (86')
Clements (50')
Aneke (22')
Aneke (33'), Cisse (57')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Cheltenham
Aneke (34'), Healey (84'), Simpson (99' pen.)

Maddox (98')
Jan 31, 2009 3pm
Cheltenham
3-5
MK Dons
Spencer (68', 75', 81' pen.)
Owusu (37')
Johnson (17', 71'), Wilbraham (44', 45', 59')
Gueret (68'), Stirling (80'), Puncheon (90')
Oct 25, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Gerba (9', 80'), Baldock (55' pen.)
Stirling (25')
Gueret (30')
Caines (26')
Owusu (54'), Westlake (71')
Owusu (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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