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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Globe Arena
Crewe Alexandra

Morecambe
1 - 2
Crewe

Leigh (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Morecambe 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

Neither side can afford any more slip-ups if they wish to retain their position in the league, especially Crewe whose future looks bleak heading into 2022. With the backing of home support, we expect Morecambe to just about edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
48.23%26.3%25.48%
Both teams to score 48.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64%55.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43%76.57%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02%22.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23%56.78%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 48.22%
    Crewe Alexandra 25.48%
    Draw 26.29%
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-0 @ 9.22%
2-1 @ 9.14%
3-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25.48%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Crewe

Morecambe
55.0%
Draw
10.0%
Crewe Alexandra
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-1
Crewe
Wildig (68')
Wildig (55')
Phillips (90')
Ng (47')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crewe
5-0
Morecambe
Finney (22', 90'), Lowery (31'), Kirk (38'), Wintle (58')

Lavelle (34')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Morecambe
2-2
Crewe
Tutte (63'), Ellison (84')
Oates (55'), Mandeville (75'), Cranston (90')
Jones (27'), Porter (90' pen.)
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Crewe
6-0
Morecambe
Kirk (6'), Nicholls (10', 63'), Jones (72', 90'), Porter (87')
Nicholls (50')

Fleming (56'), Wildig (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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