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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Lincoln City |
28.25% | 25.5% | 46.24% |
Both teams to score 52.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% | 50.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.55% | 72.44% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% | 32.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% | 68.74% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% | 21.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% | 55.07% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |