League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Northampton3 - 1Reading
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Reading
Despite the gap in the league standings owing to Reading's points docking this season, these sides have an identical win/loss record and are separated by just two goals. We are expecting an even contest here and feel this one will end level at the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 43%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Reading |
43% ( 0) | 25.33% ( 0.14) | 31.67% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( -0.66) | 48.2% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( -0.61) | 70.35% ( 0.61) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( -0.28) | 22.36% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.16% ( -0.42) | 55.85% ( 0.43) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.41) | 28.66% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.53% ( -0.52) | 64.48% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Northampton Town 43%
Reading 31.67%
Draw 25.33%
| Northampton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.67% |
Form Guide
