League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 0
Northampton

Garrity (84')
Chislett (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Crewe
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, September 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Northampton Town
39.9% ( 0)	27.63% ( 0.01)	32.48% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.78% (

-0.02)

57.23% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

-0.01)

78.08% (

0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

-0.01)

28.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

-0.01)

63.7% (

0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33% (

-0.01)

32.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78% (

-0.01)

69.22% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 39.89%

Northampton Town 32.47%

Draw 27.63%

Port Vale	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.89%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.47%