Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.