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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Reading |
40.25% ( 1.25) | 27.15% ( 0.4) | 32.6% ( -1.65) |
Both teams to score 49.92% ( -1.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.61% ( -1.86) | 55.39% ( 1.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.41% ( -1.54) | 76.59% ( 1.55) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( -0.17) | 26.97% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% ( -0.23) | 62.32% ( 0.23) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.36% ( -2.02) | 31.64% ( 2.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.95% ( -2.39) | 68.05% ( 2.39) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
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