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EFL Cup
Port Vale
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Crewe Alexandra

Port Vale
0 - 0
Crewe


Garrity (28'), Cass (54'), Iacovitti (72'), Devine (84')
FT
(aet)

Thomas (24'), Williams (29'), Powell (78'), Nevitt (90+3')
Port Vale win 2-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Port Vale and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Port Vale 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

 Port Vale are currently enjoying an impressive run of form, having won four and drawn one of their last five competitive matches. With all three of their home matches this season resulting in victory, we think that they will utilise home advantage to beat Crewe on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCrewe Alexandra
48.18% (-1.781 -1.78) 25.4% (0.224 0.22) 26.42% (1.555 1.56)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.716 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (0.256 0.26)51.25% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (0.224 0.22)73.08% (-0.226 -0.23)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)21.28% (0.655 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (-1.026 -1.03)54.21% (1.024 1.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (1.445 1.45)34.07% (-1.447 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (1.526 1.53)70.76% (-1.529 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 48.18%
    Crewe Alexandra 26.42%
    Draw 25.4%
Port ValeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.448 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 48.18%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.141 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.308 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.42%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Crewe

Port Vale
67.7%
Draw
16.1%
Crewe Alexandra
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
P-P
Crewe
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
0-1
Port Vale
Taylor (61')
Legge (80'), Brown (93')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
1-0
Crewe
Pope (78')
Miller (41'), Montano (77')

Hunt (47'), Porter (74')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
0-1
Port Vale

Ainley (58'), Whelan (60'), Miller (73')
Legge (75')
Miller (79')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Crewe
2-2
Port Vale
Wintle (7'), Kirk (90')
Sterry (36'), McKirdy (82')
Pope (36' pen.), Kay (71')
Howkins (28'), Kay (56'), Gibbons (67')
rhs 2.0
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