League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale1 - 0Reading
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Port Vale 1-2 Reading
Both sides would have taken confidence from their midweek cup victories, and they will now be looking to claim three points for the first time this season. While off-field issues have hampered their recruitment, Reading can still field a strong side, and we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Port Vale on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Reading |
49.04% ( 0.02) | 25.96% ( 0) | 25% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.55% ( -0.01) | 54.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( -0.01) | 75.81% ( 0.01) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0) | 22.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.34% ( 0.01) | 55.65% ( -0.01) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( -0.02) | 37.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.02) | 73.8% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 49.04%
Reading 25%
Draw 25.95%
| Port Vale | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 25% |
How you voted: Port Vale vs Reading
Port Vale
33.3%Draw
16.7%Reading
50.0%6
Form Guide
