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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Reading logo

Port Vale
1 - 0
Reading

Garrity (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carroll (45+6'), Wing (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Reading
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Reading

Both sides would have taken confidence from their midweek cup victories, and they will now be looking to claim three points for the first time this season. While off-field issues have hampered their recruitment, Reading can still field a strong side, and we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Port Vale on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawReading
49.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.012 -0.01)75.81% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)37.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)73.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.04%
    Reading 25%
    Draw 25.95%
Port ValeDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Reading

Port Vale
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
50.0%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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