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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Carlisle United |
32.51% (![]() | 28.19% (![]() | 39.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% (![]() | 59.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.32% (![]() | 79.68% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% (![]() | 33.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% (![]() | 70.37% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% (![]() | 29.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% (![]() | 65.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |