Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
