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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
Bolton logo

Rotherham
2 - 1
Bolton

Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 3-1 Bolton Wanderers

Fuelled by the frustration of their first setback in several months, Rotherham can use their attacking strength to take care of business against a Bolton side with several issues to overcome. The visitors have effectively been in hibernation for over two weeks, and were struggling for form beforehand, so will be unable to resist the well-drilled league leaders on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
55.2%23.2%21.6%
Both teams to score 53.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43%46.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16%68.84%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22%35.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45%72.55%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 55.2%
    Bolton Wanderers 21.6%
    Draw 23.2%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.57%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 0.94%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.2%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 6.15%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.6%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Bolton

Rotherham United
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Bolton Wanderers
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bolton
2-1
Rotherham
Ameobi (33'), O'Neil (65')
Wilson (51'), Williams (98')
Vaulks (37')
Robertson (13')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Rotherham
1-1
Bolton
Vaulks (56')
Manning (81'), Mattock (89')
Doidge (84')
Lowe (24'), Vela (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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