League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

The New York Stadium

Rotherham
2 - 1
Bolton

Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 3-1 Bolton Wanderers

Fuelled by the frustration of their first setback in several months, Rotherham can use their attacking strength to take care of business against a Bolton side with several issues to overcome. The visitors have effectively been in hibernation for over two weeks, and were struggling for form beforehand, so will be unable to resist the well-drilled league leaders on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
55.2%	23.2%	21.6%

Both teams to score 53.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43%

46.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.16%

68.84%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27%

16.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36%

46.64%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22%

35.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.45%

72.55%

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 55.2%

Bolton Wanderers 21.6%

Draw 23.2%

Rotherham United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.57% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 0.94% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.2%	1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.2%	0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 5.65% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.6%